US Election 2024

Trump talking like their internals are positive, but they aren’t behaving that way.

I just keep coming back to John Brown, who was hanged for far less damage to the republic.

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https://x.com/RadioFreeTom/status/1852884736701829493

A more qualitative signal that Trump is a long way from where he needs to be

The piece includes a story about trump finally buying everyone’s argument that Laura Loomer was trouble after he was shown pictures of her pre plastic surgery and was disgusted in her :joy:

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https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1852890984754848229

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Missed in this is that several of these spot on results were outliers from the averages. Notably…

  • prior to her 2020 presidential the rest of the polling suggested Biden was winning 400 ec votes. This was the first sign the polling average was missing something big
  • She was the only person who picked up Obama’s surge in the Iowa primary in 2008. It’s difficult to remember now, but until that poll people thought he had committed career suicide by challenging Hillary who people were still assuming would still win.

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1852853766241890740?s=61&t=VxX1vHU3NOwwNhlbyICG-g

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https://x.com/MSNBC/status/1852881939205636273

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In all this Iowa news it must be remembered…

The corn in Illinois leans to the left. Why?

Because Iowa sucks.

(This was a joke my grade school children told me some years ago).

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https://x.com/marceelias/status/1852904366967038334

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A twink mocked a hall of fame lineman for his hall of fame TE brother dating the most famous women in the world and found out what actual alpha males stand on business

https://x.com/aspiringpeasant/status/1852826960227164597?s=61&t=VxX1vHU3NOwwNhlbyICG-g

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That is the Salzer poll.

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Yep, i posted this because they`re doing a short interview with Salzer. She explains, that the numbers are coming from woman and more so “elderly woman” (age 65 and over) voting 2:1 for Harris.

https://x.com/chrisjollyhale/status/1852859388102389981

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Jason Kelce might be worth a point or two in Eastern PA, to be sure.

You have to wonder wtf these maga incels are thinking. Jason Kelce probably leans Republican, all things being equal, but wtf do you think his reaction is going to be to calling his brother a faggot?!?

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https://x.com/atrupar/status/1852804818366083218

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I would definitely want a landslide where the battleground vote count is above 1%, it’s definitely needed for the sake of the country. Worst case scenario is that it’s as close as last election (from a battleground % pov).

I still think it’s a republican presidency and senate, not sure about the house as I have not really been following it.

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https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1852919210688598367

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I really hate to victim-blame, but what did he think was going to be the outcome of throwing slurs at a person twice his size? Did he think Kelce was an NPC or something?

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‘Who do these celebrities think they are? They go from their chauffeured cars, straight into their VIP entrances…they won’t even walk amongst us when they go to the football!’

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Btw… They’re also doing “ads for dads” now…

https://x.com/olivier_patti/status/1852728872296751246

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So not half, but ~30%.

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And the bigger problem with this is it gives ‘the steal’ momentum and you can be sure will be used by MAGA to fire up ‘voter fraud’ claims if Harris wins comfortably

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