US Election 2024

[Arminius]

@Sithbare

Doesn’t look good for Kamala.

Always good to turn the board around and look at it from the other side. Right now, Trump is 59 EC votes short. Where are those coming from?

NC - 16 almost certain
GA - 16 less certain, Cobb County always comes in very late
NE - looks like it will split 3/2 for Trump

So, where does he get 25 more votes?

AZ has a razor thin margin for 11.
MN is showing for Trump now, no way that happens. Hennepin County alone will flip it.

See above for WI and PA comments. Those are 29. That’s the whole board.

[Cologne-Liverpool]

If you feel bad right now, just think how that Selzer lady must feel

[Semmy]

[Limiescouse]

@gasband

But we cannot call them wrong,

Yes we can. The anti-anti trump movement have somehow managed to reframe his failures as success and Biden’s successes as failures.

The entire basis of his candidacy is based on fantasy

[JU97ICE]

@Cologne-Liverpool

If you feel bad right now, just think how that Selzer lady must feel

Its like time travel used in movies and the very act of time travel changing the trajectory of time.

When I saw that poll in my mind I was thinking “shut the fuck up! Shut the fuck up! You’ll break the spell!”

[Arminius]

Flipping the board back to the Harris side

Democrats leading in VA, probably by enough. Reason to believe that more of the votes to be counted are Democratic, so the lead will probably increase. Most of the uncounted votes are urban.

Michigan though is tightening. Harris will need strong turnout in Detroit to make up some of the margin lost from 2020. At the county level, that lead looks very fragile.

There are going to be some very busy lawyers tomorrow in AZ, MI, PA, and WI

[Limiescouse]

AP calls NC for Trump. If NC is gone Georgia is gone and it’s all now on the blue wall

[JU97ICE]

@Limiescouse

An attempt to summarize all the disqualifying events would make you look like a lunatic. But just reflect that our election has been subjected to 60 bomb threats, targeted at dem strongholds, identified as being from an adversarial foreign power that the candidate and chief ball,licker have both, illegally, been in communication with.

I think you are giving the US public a massive out there. They surely need to take full responsibility for this? Was there a low turnout for Dem voters? We’ll need to see the final popular vote figures but hasn’t Trumpbeen picking up stronger voting numbers than last time? The convicted felon?

[peterroberts]

As it stands , NYT gives Trump an 89% probability of victory. It’s as good as over.

[Magnus]

I fear for the future. I really, really, really do.

[Arminius]

@peterroberts

As it stands , NYT gives Trump an 89% probability of victory. It’s as good as over.

I missed which Michigan county updated, but right now Trump has small leads in all 3 of WI, MI, and PA. All three of those need to flip the other.

[Limiescouse]

@JU97ICE

@Limiescouse

An attempt to summarize all the disqualifying events would make you look like a lunatic. But just reflect that our election has been subjected to 60 bomb threats, targeted at dem strongholds, identified as being from an adversarial foreign power that the candidate and chief ball,licker have both, illegally, been in communication with.

I think you are giving the US public a massive out there. They surely need to take full responsibility for this?

It’s not an out. It is a reflection of how broken everything has become that the fact this is going on with barely any mention other than pleas to voters to not leave is a reflection of how an insurrectionist was rehabilitated into a credible candidate despite running the most insane dipshit campaign ever

[Livvy]

I still have 2016 Ptsd, even more so way back to the Gore drama. It´s over when it´s over, until then, every vote counts.

[Cologne-Liverpool]

Georgia is gone too

[peterroberts]

She’s got too much to do in Philly , where she’s running behind Biden’s numbers in '20. The SOS coming out of there from the Dems a couple of weeks ago wasn’t heeded and now she’ll pay the price.

[Cologne-Liverpool]

She might end up losing all of the battleground states

[Iftikhar]

179-230

[Livvy]

[Limiescouse]

@Sweeting

Been critical of Harris’ campaign, focusing her messaging on Republicans. Win or lose I don’t think this strategy has been right.

I wish the Democrats were not terrified to appeal to their own base. They place so much more value on Republicans.

It wasn’t a focus. It was never more than a theme. It was a focus only of people who were upset at the idea they would be focusing on it while ignoring all the base messaging they were doing simultaneously.

[Limiescouse]

Missouri goes the other way to Florida…votes to,overturn a strict abortion ban while voting in christofascist overwhelmingly who is an advocate of the ban