So, the majority of Americans are only interested in how full their wallets are, that their borders are closed, and that all illegal aliens disappear. They don’t give a damn about anything else, like education, climate, health, the rest of the world, and to achieve that, they happily vote a senile old, convicted criminal into office. Did I forget something?
Well, I hope for everyone over there only the best but it scares me a lot tbh
I think she might have been picking up on something in Des Moines and Iowa City, but not generalized. Turnout looks like it will be lower. Comparing to 2020, the Democrats have actually lost two urban counties they won in 2024, Story and Scott. Both tending toward middle American suburbia, probably not much different from some of the others in the swing states where Harris is winning, but down 5-10 points from Biden.
I think this is a watershed, after which Europe really has to chart its own course. NATO would appear to be a spent force, the EU will need to be able to stand on its own against regional threats, most notably Russia.
Would this not be considered a result for Trump. One of his original arguments from his first campaign is that the countries in NATO were not meeting the agreed defence budget to GDP. Sadly, it took Russia invading Ukraine before Countries like Germany upped their spending and this was reluctant.
It is a question of where the remaining 40 (or 60) EC votes are. By some counts, Trump is at 246 and just winning PA (where he leads) gets him almost all the way there. The lead has to turn around in all three major battleground states for Harris to win.
Keep in mind that Trump has persistently suggested that the NATO allies should be paying the US, so it is not quite clear what Trump would define a win as. But an EU which doesn’t trust NATO/USA is going to spend money very differently on defence. Just for an example, the F-35 now seems like folly. The relationship with China may become equally important Europe sees Russia as a threat that America doesn’t care about.