US Election 2024

Trump is getting close to 40% of the vote in CA, so assuming the outstanding districts are trending the same was, it means he will get close to 3m of those votes. The republicans, like many other states, have upped their numbers in CA (about 5%). If this is just a blip in the map, then from the Dems pov its not really something to worry about (this election) however if its a trend, well thats another matter.

Two stories my wife just shared with me. Sorry if reported elsewhere.
One firm has informed all employees Christmas bonuses are not happening because they need the money to purchase goods before tariffs are implemented. President of the company had to explain how tariffs work and that the cost is passed onto the company purchasing, much to the chagrin of the MAGA workforce who didn’t know this before.

Another company informing employees the company will likely fold because Trump won’t continue the funding, again a shocked MAGA workforce.

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can i ask why is there such a delay for the last 17 votes?

how can some results be coming in on the morning of the election almost, and some are 4 days later still unresolved

surely the answer cant be in just postal votes and the closeness of the result?

It’s just kind of what AZ and NV do.

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Sarah Longwell was the first person I heard demanding Biden’s team shift from the “democracy” focus, not because the message wasn’t valuable but because her focus groups made it clear that too many people dont really understand what is meant by that word and conflate it with partisan politics…as something that hurts the Democratic party. She suggested it could be as simple as switching the word with “freedom”. Not many took her seriously. Yet here she is again arguing that the framing of the Trump is a danger" focus used words that went above the heads of lots of voters.

https://x.com/ZachWLambert/status/1854915613594128444

You really can never set the bar too low in what you think the electorate is capable of understanding about an election or the candidates. Republicans understand that far better than Dems do.

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This is the guy who moved/or was going to move the US embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
Great way to stir up utter shit.
Biden was too weak on Israel and Trump will be suckholing by the end of January.

Did anyone seriously believe that increased costs would not be passed on…seriously,what planet are they on.

Yes clearly they did. And now they’re realizing. It needs to be shown to them they are that bought in to Trump’s shit.

Another story a guy talking about immigrants. He’s documented but in the discourse it turns out his parents are illegal undocumented. You realize they’ll be deported? No? Didn’t realize they are at risk. He voted for high costs and didn’t realize this would impact his family…

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Anyone else getting a sense of deja vu? nah… must be just me.

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For the better of the Democrat Party, Jaime Harrison should zip his lip, pack his bags and stay out of any further conversations.

That’s good advice for most of these people.

This anecdotal account from the coalface feeds into the position that Harris was well and truly swimming against the disinformation stream, with a dose of misogyny thrown in for good measure.

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I was thinking about ol’ Gavin McInnes.

Anyone remember him? Founder of Vice. The Hipster King of Williamsburg? Thee founder of the Proud Boys, and the very reason I can no longer wear my black and gold Fred Perry in public?

No???

He must be livid that he’s received no invite to the manosphere, heterodoxy circle jerk.

Met him in a gay bar once. He was wearing leather boots, hot pants and a crop top that said ‘Daddy’ right across his wee Canadian (“Glaswegian”) titties.

(I made up the last bit, but it easily could be true).

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The trouble with this take is that it neglects that Trumpism is that it’s a basically cult. Realities like people objectively getting poorer because of his policies don’t really matter. It will be someone else’s fault, and as his followers are balls deep, they will lap it up.

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I don’t expect Trump voters to budge no matter what he does. However, a disastrous Trump reign would reduce voter apathy like what happened in 2020. People got complacent after 4 years of him not fumbling every crisis that came his way.
It’ll be up to the Democrats to pin everything he does to his party rather than just Trump alone since he can’t run in 2028 anyway.

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https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1854966085159723253?t=g2XzzYtcBNPbCw3LfM_P7g&s=03

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Bernard Manning might be dust, but so long as the echoes of the laughter he provoked still bounce around the empyrean, he will, unfortunately, never truly die.

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One of my brothers knew him well in the early 90s in the Ottawa-area punk scene. A very strange evolution that man has gone through.

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Yes, there are several problems you can find with that take, I agree. But I posted it because it was down to earthish while being slightly positive.

Hopefully his precious Manchester City team will though :joy:

This is the best take I’ve seen so far.

Big caveat - his argument is largely what he was saying before the election, and as I have been warning for a few days, be weary of arguments about what went wrong that just validate that person’s prior position. But this take is what I agree with as well so am waving that warning for myself :joy:

The crux is material factors and the respective actual agendas should have resulted in overwhelming support from working class voters. How to understand what went wrong should focus around the fact that mainstream media is both broken (gives bad information to people who do engage with it) while also rapidly losing influence, and the Dems are suffering badly from failing to develop cultural capital in what has started replacing it.

And these are the best two paragraphs anyone has written about the problem

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